Ottawa's iconic Rideau Canal Skateway is facing a significant challenge from an incoming stretch of unseasonably warm weather, potentially cutting short the window for ideal skating this week.
Current Conditions and Impending Warm Spell
As of Thursday, January 8, 2026, the National Capital Commission (NCC) reported that ice conditions on the 7.8-kilometre skateway were a mix of "good" and "fair." The section between Rideau and Bronson was listed as good, while the stretch through the Dow's Lake loop to Carleton University was rated as fair. The entire surface was open for skaters.
However, Environment Canada is forecasting a dramatic shift. Periods of rain mixed with drizzle are expected to begin on Friday morning, with the daytime high reaching a concerning 6 degrees Celsius. Rain is predicted to continue throughout the day.
What "Fair" Ice Means for Skaters
The NCC defines "fair" ice conditions as a surface that is worn or soft due to mild temperatures, resulting in poor gliding and the presence of many pressure cracks. This classification indicates the ice is already vulnerable before the forecasted rain and warmth arrive.
The NCC stated it would issue an update on Thursday afternoon regarding how the warm weather is expected to impact the canal's skating conditions.
Extended Forecast and Skating Advice
The mild pattern is set to continue over the weekend and into next week. Saturday's high is forecast at -1 C with a 40 percent chance of rain, while Sunday should see a high of -2 C with a chance of flurries.
For those hoping to skate, Thursday afternoon and evening may present the last best opportunity under stable conditions. The forecast calls for precipitation-free skies with temperatures hovering around zero in the afternoon before dropping below freezing overnight.
The sudden warm-up serves as a reminder of the weather-dependent nature of the world's largest skating rink. Skaters are encouraged to lace up soon if they wish to experience the canal's current conditions before the potential thaw alters the ice.
