A new poll reveals that Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservatives are now in a statistical tie with the Ontario Liberals, following a controversy surrounding the Premier’s use of a private jet. The survey, conducted by a leading polling firm, indicates a significant shift in voter sentiment, with the Tories losing their previous lead.
Poll Details
The poll, released on April 29, 2026, shows the PCs at 34% support among decided voters, while the Liberals trail closely at 33%. The New Democrats stand at 22%, and the Green Party at 8%. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, making the race between the PCs and Liberals effectively a dead heat.
Impact of the Private Jet Fiasco
The controversy erupted after it was revealed that Premier Doug Ford used a private jet for personal trips, costing taxpayers tens of thousands of dollars. Ford initially defended the flights, citing security and efficiency, but later apologized after public outcry. Analysts suggest this scandal has eroded trust in the PC government, particularly among suburban and rural voters who were key to their 2022 victory.
“The private jet issue has clearly damaged the PCs’ brand,” said a political analyst. “Voters are questioning the government’s fiscal responsibility, especially amid rising costs of living.”
Regional Breakdown
The poll also highlights regional variations. In the Greater Toronto Area, the Liberals hold a slight edge with 36% support, compared to 33% for the PCs. In southwestern Ontario, the PCs remain strong at 40%, but the Liberals have gained ground, now at 30%. Northern Ontario shows a tight three-way race, with the NDP at 35%, PCs at 32%, and Liberals at 28%.
Voter Priorities
When asked about key issues, 42% of respondents cited the cost of living as their top concern, followed by healthcare (28%) and government accountability (15%). The private jet scandal appears to have amplified concerns about accountability, with 62% of voters saying it makes them less likely to support the PCs.
Looking Ahead
With the next provincial election scheduled for 2027, the PCs still have time to recover. However, the poll suggests that the Liberals, under new leadership, are capitalizing on Conservative missteps. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie has called for a full investigation into the jet expenses and proposed stricter ethics rules for cabinet ministers.
“This poll shows that Ontarians want a government that respects their tax dollars,” Crombie said in a statement. “We will continue to hold the PCs accountable.”
As the fallout continues, both parties are expected to ramp up their campaigns, with the PCs focusing on their economic record and the Liberals emphasizing transparency and integrity.
