Why Trump Approved the Pipeline
U.S. President Donald Trump has approved a new pipeline that could transport up to a million barrels of Canadian oil daily to refineries in the U.S. Midwest and Gulf Coast. This decision, however, is not a sign of newfound friendship with Canada. Instead, it is a politically motivated move to address soaring gasoline prices ahead of the November mid-term elections.
During his first term, Trump had four years to reverse the Keystone XL pipeline suspension imposed by Barack Obama but chose not to. His recent approval of the 1,000-kilometer pipeline from Monchy, Saskatchewan, to Guernsey, Wyoming, is driven by domestic concerns.
Gas Prices and Political Pressure
Since Trump launched an impulsive war against Iran on February 28, 2026, the median U.S. gasoline price has surged from $2.98 per gallon to $4.39, a 47% increase. This spike contradicts his campaign promises to lower fuel costs and his February 24 State of the Union boast about achieving that goal. The price hike has become a major political liability for Trump and his Republican party.
To mitigate the damage, Trump needs to appear proactive. The pipeline, built by Wyoming-based Bridger Pipeline LLC, may be completed in two to three years by using existing Keystone infrastructure and a favorable right-of-way. However, it is unlikely to be finished before Trump's term ends, but the approval itself serves as a symbolic gesture.
No Change in Attitude Toward Canada
Trump continues to mock Canada, even referring to 'Greater North America' alongside Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. He maintains a 50% tariff on Canadian aluminum despite the U.S. relying on imports for 60% of its supply. This tariff costs domestic industries billions, revealing that the pipeline approval is not about friendship but political survival.
In summary, Trump's decision is a calculated move to address rising gas prices and protect his party in the upcoming elections, not a shift in his adversarial stance toward Canada.
